{
  "figures": [
    {
      "file": "fig_nao_skill.png",
      "mode": "NAO",
      "metric": "skill",
      "title": "Seasonal NAO Skill",
      "caption": "ACC and NRMSE, 1979\u20132019 verification, 1980\u20132010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_nao_eof_patterns.png",
      "mode": "NAO",
      "metric": "eof_patterns",
      "title": "NAO EOF Patterns",
      "caption": "Y1-Y2 seasons: DJF/MAM/JJA/SON, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_npo_skill.png",
      "mode": "NPO",
      "metric": "skill",
      "title": "Seasonal NPO Skill",
      "caption": "ACC and NRMSE, 1980\u20132018 verification, 1980\u20132010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_npo_eof_patterns.png",
      "mode": "NPO",
      "metric": "eof_patterns",
      "title": "NPO EOF Patterns",
      "caption": "Y1-Y2 seasons: DJF/MAM/JJA/SON, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_npgo_skill.png",
      "mode": "NPGO",
      "metric": "skill",
      "title": "Seasonal NPGO Skill",
      "caption": "ACC and NRMSE, 1980\u20132018 verification, 1980\u20132010 anomaly baseline, HADISST2 reference",
      "reference": "HADISST2"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_npgo_eof_patterns.png",
      "mode": "NPGO",
      "metric": "eof_patterns",
      "title": "NPGO EOF Patterns",
      "caption": "Y1-Y2 seasons: DJF/MAM/JJA/SON, HADISST2 reference",
      "reference": "HADISST2"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_ea_skill.png",
      "mode": "EA",
      "metric": "skill",
      "title": "Seasonal EA Skill",
      "caption": "ACC and NRMSE, 1980\u20132018 verification, 1980\u20132010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_ea_eof_patterns.png",
      "mode": "EA",
      "metric": "eof_patterns",
      "title": "EA EOF Patterns",
      "caption": "Y1-Y2 seasons: DJF/MAM/JJA/SON, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_sca_skill.png",
      "mode": "SCA",
      "metric": "skill",
      "title": "Seasonal SCA Skill",
      "caption": "ACC and NRMSE, 1980\u20132018 verification, 1980\u20132010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_sca_eof_patterns.png",
      "mode": "SCA",
      "metric": "eof_patterns",
      "title": "SCA EOF Patterns",
      "caption": "Y1-Y2 seasons: DJF/MAM/JJA/SON, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_pdo_skill.png",
      "mode": "PDO",
      "metric": "skill",
      "title": "Seasonal PDO Skill",
      "caption": "ACC and NRMSE, 1980\u20132018 verification, 1980\u20132010 anomaly baseline, HADISST2 reference",
      "reference": "HADISST2"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_pdo_eof_patterns.png",
      "mode": "PDO",
      "metric": "eof_patterns",
      "title": "PDO EOF Patterns",
      "caption": "Y1-Y2 seasons: DJF/MAM/JJA/SON, HADISST2 reference",
      "reference": "HADISST2"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_amo_skill.png",
      "mode": "AMO",
      "metric": "skill",
      "title": "Seasonal AMO Skill",
      "caption": "ACC and NRMSE, 1980\u20132018 verification, 1980\u20132010 anomaly baseline, HADISST2 reference",
      "reference": "HADISST2"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_amo_eof_patterns.png",
      "mode": "AMO",
      "metric": "eof_patterns",
      "title": "AMO EOF Patterns",
      "caption": "Y1-Y2 seasons: DJF/MAM/JJA/SON, HADISST2 reference",
      "reference": "HADISST2"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psl_acc_skill_map.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_acc",
      "title": "Leadtime ACC Skill: PSL",
      "caption": "ACC skill vs lead month"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psl_acc_skill_compare.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_acc_compare",
      "title": "Leadtime ACC Comparison: PSL",
      "caption": "ACC comparison May/Nov inits"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psl_acc_skill_diff.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_acc_diff",
      "title": "Leadtime ACC Skill Difference: PSL",
      "caption": "ACC skill difference between experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_nino3_4_nino34_acc_skill.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "nino34_sst_skill",
      "title": "Ni\u00f1o-3.4 SST Skill: nino3.4",
      "caption": "Verification period: 1980-2018"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_nino3_4_nino34_time_series.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "nino34_sst_skill",
      "title": "Ni\u00f1o-3.4 SST Skill: nino3.4",
      "caption": "Verification period: 1980-2018"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_tc_track_density_enso_regression.png",
      "mode": "tc",
      "metric": "track_density_enso_regression",
      "title": "TC Track Density ENSO Regression",
      "caption": "TC track density regressed on ENSO index"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_prect_acc_skill_map.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_acc",
      "title": "Leadtime ACC Skill: PRECT",
      "caption": "ACC skill vs lead month"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_prect_acc_skill_compare.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_acc_compare",
      "title": "Leadtime ACC Comparison: PRECT",
      "caption": "ACC comparison May/Nov inits"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_prect_acc_skill_diff.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_acc_diff",
      "title": "Leadtime ACC Skill Difference: PRECT",
      "caption": "ACC skill difference between experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_trefht_acc_skill_map.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_acc",
      "title": "Leadtime ACC Skill: TREFHT",
      "caption": "ACC skill vs lead month"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_trefht_acc_skill_compare.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_acc_compare",
      "title": "Leadtime ACC Comparison: TREFHT",
      "caption": "ACC comparison May/Nov inits"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_trefht_acc_skill_diff.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_acc_diff",
      "title": "Leadtime ACC Skill Difference: TREFHT",
      "caption": "ACC skill difference between experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_trefht_rmse_skill_map.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_rmse",
      "title": "Leadtime RMSE: TREFHT",
      "caption": "RMSE skill vs lead month, global"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_trefht_rmse_skill_conus.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_rmse_conus",
      "title": "Leadtime RMSE CONUS: TREFHT",
      "caption": "RMSE skill CONUS, all seasons"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_trefht_rmse_skill_diff.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_rmse_diff",
      "title": "Leadtime RMSE Difference: TREFHT",
      "caption": "RMSE difference between experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_trefht_rmse_compare_global.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: TREFHT",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_trefht_rmse_compare_conus.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: TREFHT",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_trefht_rmse_diff_global.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: TREFHT",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_trefht_rmse_diff_compare.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: TREFHT",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_prect_rmse_compare_global.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: PRECT",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_prect_rmse_compare_conus.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: PRECT",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_prect_rmse_diff_global.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: PRECT",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_prect_rmse_diff_compare.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: PRECT",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psl_rmse_compare_global.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: PSL",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psl_rmse_compare_conus.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: PSL",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_prect_rmse_skill_map.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_rmse",
      "title": "Leadtime RMSE: PRECT",
      "caption": "RMSE skill vs lead month, global"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_prect_rmse_skill_conus.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_rmse_conus",
      "title": "Leadtime RMSE CONUS: PRECT",
      "caption": "RMSE skill CONUS, all seasons"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_prect_rmse_skill_diff.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_rmse_diff",
      "title": "Leadtime RMSE Difference: PRECT",
      "caption": "RMSE difference between experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psl_rmse_diff_global.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: PSL",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psl_rmse_diff_compare.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "rmse_compare",
      "title": "RMSE Comparison: PSL",
      "caption": "RMSE comparison across experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psl_rmse_skill_map.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_rmse",
      "title": "Leadtime RMSE: PSL",
      "caption": "RMSE skill vs lead month, global"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psl_rmse_skill_conus.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_rmse_conus",
      "title": "Leadtime RMSE CONUS: PSL",
      "caption": "RMSE skill CONUS, all seasons"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psl_rmse_skill_diff.png",
      "mode": "",
      "metric": "leadtime_rmse_diff",
      "title": "Leadtime RMSE Difference: PSL",
      "caption": "RMSE difference between experiments"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_amo_pc_time_series.png",
      "mode": "AMO",
      "metric": "pc_time_series",
      "title": "AMO Projected EOF PC Time Series",
      "caption": "Projected EOF PC time series, 1980-2018 verification, 1980-2010 anomaly baseline, HADISST2 reference",
      "reference": "HADISST2"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_nao_pc_time_series.png",
      "mode": "NAO",
      "metric": "pc_time_series",
      "title": "NAO Projected EOF PC Time Series",
      "caption": "Projected EOF PC time series, 1979-2019 verification, 1980-2010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_pdo_pc_time_series.png",
      "mode": "PDO",
      "metric": "pc_time_series",
      "title": "PDO Projected EOF PC Time Series",
      "caption": "Projected EOF PC time series, 1980-2018 verification, 1980-2010 anomaly baseline, HADISST2 reference",
      "reference": "HADISST2"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psa1_skill.png",
      "mode": "PSA1",
      "metric": "skill",
      "title": "Seasonal PSA1 Skill",
      "caption": "ACC and NRMSE, 1979\u20132019 verification, 1980\u20132010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psa1_pc_time_series.png",
      "mode": "PSA1",
      "metric": "pc_time_series",
      "title": "PSA1 Projected EOF PC Time Series",
      "caption": "Projected EOF PC time series, 1979-2019 verification, 1980-2010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psa1_eof_patterns.png",
      "mode": "PSA1",
      "metric": "eof_patterns",
      "title": "PSA1 EOF Patterns",
      "caption": "Y1-Y2 seasons: DJF/MAM/JJA/SON, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_sam_skill.png",
      "mode": "SAM",
      "metric": "skill",
      "title": "Seasonal SAM Skill",
      "caption": "ACC and NRMSE, 1979\u20132019 verification, 1980\u20132010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_sam_pc_time_series.png",
      "mode": "SAM",
      "metric": "pc_time_series",
      "title": "SAM Projected EOF PC Time Series",
      "caption": "Projected EOF PC time series, 1979-2019 verification, 1980-2010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_sam_eof_patterns.png",
      "mode": "SAM",
      "metric": "eof_patterns",
      "title": "SAM EOF Patterns",
      "caption": "Y1-Y2 seasons: DJF/MAM/JJA/SON, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_nam_skill.png",
      "mode": "NAM",
      "metric": "skill",
      "title": "Seasonal NAM Skill",
      "caption": "ACC and NRMSE, 1979\u20132019 verification, 1980\u20132010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_nam_pc_time_series.png",
      "mode": "NAM",
      "metric": "pc_time_series",
      "title": "NAM Projected EOF PC Time Series",
      "caption": "Projected EOF PC time series, 1979-2019 verification, 1980-2010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_nam_eof_patterns.png",
      "mode": "NAM",
      "metric": "eof_patterns",
      "title": "NAM EOF Patterns",
      "caption": "Y1-Y2 seasons: DJF/MAM/JJA/SON, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psa2_skill.png",
      "mode": "PSA2",
      "metric": "skill",
      "title": "Seasonal PSA2 Skill",
      "caption": "ACC and NRMSE, 1979\u20132019 verification, 1980\u20132010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psa2_pc_time_series.png",
      "mode": "PSA2",
      "metric": "pc_time_series",
      "title": "PSA2 Projected EOF PC Time Series",
      "caption": "Projected EOF PC time series, 1979-2019 verification, 1980-2010 anomaly baseline, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_psa2_eof_patterns.png",
      "mode": "PSA2",
      "metric": "eof_patterns",
      "title": "PSA2 EOF Patterns",
      "caption": "Y1-Y2 seasons: DJF/MAM/JJA/SON, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    },
    {
      "file": "fig_nam_global_teleconnection_patterns.png",
      "mode": "NAM",
      "metric": "global_teleconnection_patterns",
      "title": "Global NAM SST Teleconnection Patterns",
      "caption": "Full-map SST regression patterns onto NAM PCs, 1979-2019 verification, ERA5 reference",
      "reference": "ERA5"
    }
  ],
  "updated": "2026-06-21T06:53:41Z"
}