Download Data |
Period Mean (original grids) [degC] |
Bias [degC] |
RMSE [degC] |
Phase Shift [months] |
Bias Score [1] |
RMSE Score [1] |
Seasonal Cycle Score [1] |
Overall Score [1] |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | [-] | 24.8 | |||||||||
| CanESM5 | [-] | 27.6 | 3.25 | 3.44 | 1.02 | 0.115 | 0.465 | 0.933 | 0.494 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0051 | [-] | 26.3 | 1.51 | 1.92 | 0.508 | 0.318 | 0.488 | 0.966 | 0.565 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0111 | [-] | 26.3 | 1.54 | 1.83 | 0.508 | 0.311 | 0.540 | 0.966 | 0.589 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0161 | [-] | 26.3 | 1.51 | 2.10 | 0.508 | 0.319 | 0.464 | 0.966 | 0.553 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0281 | [-] | 26.3 | 1.46 | 1.97 | 0.508 | 0.329 | 0.465 | 0.966 | 0.556 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0311 | [-] | 26.2 | 1.45 | 2.05 | 0.508 | 0.333 | 0.451 | 0.966 | 0.551 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0051 | [-] | 26.8 | 1.98 | 2.45 | 0.00 | 0.227 | 0.467 | 1.00 | 0.540 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0111 | [-] | 26.8 | 1.96 | 2.44 | 0.00 | 0.229 | 0.468 | 1.00 | 0.541 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0161 | [-] | 26.7 | 1.95 | 2.54 | 0.508 | 0.231 | 0.455 | 0.966 | 0.527 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0281 | [-] | 26.7 | 1.91 | 2.41 | 0.508 | 0.238 | 0.464 | 0.966 | 0.533 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0311 | [-] | 26.7 | 1.91 | 2.42 | 0.00 | 0.238 | 0.476 | 1.00 | 0.548 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0051 | [-] | 25.7 | 0.885 | 1.52 | 0.508 | 0.504 | 0.468 | 0.966 | 0.602 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0111 | [-] | 25.6 | 0.796 | 1.29 | 0.508 | 0.540 | 0.511 | 0.966 | 0.632 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0161 | [-] | 25.6 | 0.860 | 1.38 | 0.508 | 0.514 | 0.498 | 0.966 | 0.619 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0281 | [-] | 25.6 | 0.780 | 1.37 | 0.508 | 0.546 | 0.469 | 0.966 | 0.613 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0311 | [-] | 25.6 | 0.835 | 1.42 | 0.508 | 0.524 | 0.500 | 0.966 | 0.623 | ||
| IPSL-CM6A-LR | [-] | 25.7 | 0.917 | 1.39 | 0.508 | 0.512 | 0.542 | 0.966 | 0.641 | ||
| MIROC-ES2L | [-] | 26.2 | 1.88 | 2.45 | 3.05 | 0.287 | 0.338 | 0.498 | 0.365 | ||
| NorESM2-LM | [-] | 27.2 | 2.39 | 2.68 | 0.508 | 0.172 | 0.537 | 0.966 | 0.553 | ||
| UKESM1-0-LL | [-] | 27.3 | 2.54 | 2.89 | 0.00 | 0.146 | 0.582 | 1.00 | 0.577 |
Download Data |
Period Mean (original grids) [degC] |
Bias [degC] |
RMSE [degC] |
Phase Shift [months] |
Bias Score [1] |
RMSE Score [1] |
Seasonal Cycle Score [1] |
Overall Score [1] |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | [-] | 25.3 | |||||||||
| CanESM5 | [-] | 27.7 | 2.34 | 2.46 | 0.00 | 0.0321 | 0.410 | 1.00 | 0.463 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0051 | [-] | 26.2 | 0.819 | 1.13 | 0.00 | 0.300 | 0.339 | 1.00 | 0.494 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0111 | [-] | 26.2 | 0.843 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.289 | 0.344 | 1.00 | 0.494 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0161 | [-] | 26.2 | 0.833 | 1.18 | 0.00 | 0.293 | 0.341 | 1.00 | 0.494 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0281 | [-] | 26.1 | 0.809 | 1.24 | 1.02 | 0.304 | 0.311 | 0.933 | 0.465 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0311 | [-] | 26.1 | 0.795 | 1.14 | 1.02 | 0.310 | 0.282 | 0.933 | 0.452 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0051 | [-] | 26.6 | 1.22 | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.165 | 0.340 | 1.00 | 0.462 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0111 | [-] | 26.5 | 1.14 | 1.35 | 0.00 | 0.185 | 0.330 | 1.00 | 0.461 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0161 | [-] | 26.5 | 1.15 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.183 | 0.277 | 1.00 | 0.434 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0281 | [-] | 26.5 | 1.12 | 1.34 | 0.00 | 0.193 | 0.329 | 1.00 | 0.463 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0311 | [-] | 26.5 | 1.18 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.176 | 0.329 | 1.00 | 0.458 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0051 | [-] | 25.9 | 0.577 | 0.972 | 0.00 | 0.427 | 0.354 | 1.00 | 0.534 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0111 | [-] | 25.9 | 0.552 | 1.01 | 0.00 | 0.443 | 0.306 | 1.00 | 0.514 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0161 | [-] | 25.8 | 0.505 | 1.01 | 1.02 | 0.476 | 0.344 | 0.933 | 0.524 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0281 | [-] | 25.8 | 0.504 | 0.801 | 0.00 | 0.476 | 0.393 | 1.00 | 0.566 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0311 | [-] | 25.9 | 0.566 | 0.921 | 0.00 | 0.434 | 0.364 | 1.00 | 0.541 | ||
| IPSL-CM6A-LR | [-] | 26.5 | 1.15 | 1.37 | 0.00 | 0.183 | 0.387 | 1.00 | 0.489 | ||
| MIROC-ES2L | [-] | 25.9 | 0.584 | 1.22 | 1.02 | 0.423 | 0.244 | 0.933 | 0.461 | ||
| NorESM2-LM | [-] | 27.5 | 2.21 | 2.28 | 0.00 | 0.0388 | 0.328 | 1.00 | 0.424 | ||
| UKESM1-0-LL | [-] | 27.8 | 2.49 | 2.74 | 0.00 | 0.0256 | 0.308 | 1.00 | 0.411 |
Download Data |
Period Mean (original grids) [degC] |
Bias [degC] |
RMSE [degC] |
Phase Shift [months] |
Bias Score [1] |
RMSE Score [1] |
Seasonal Cycle Score [1] |
Overall Score [1] |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | [-] | 10.4 | |||||||||
| CanESM5 | [-] | 11.1 | 0.776 | 3.71 | 0.431 | 0.763 | 0.655 | 0.962 | 0.759 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0051 | [-] | 10.7 | 0.353 | 3.32 | 0.387 | 0.805 | 0.667 | 0.974 | 0.778 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0111 | [-] | 10.6 | 0.218 | 3.29 | 0.341 | 0.802 | 0.667 | 0.977 | 0.778 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0161 | [-] | 10.6 | 0.274 | 3.34 | 0.337 | 0.805 | 0.665 | 0.977 | 0.778 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0281 | [-] | 10.7 | 0.379 | 3.27 | 0.538 | 0.808 | 0.671 | 0.963 | 0.778 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0311 | [-] | 10.5 | 0.175 | 3.23 | 0.326 | 0.810 | 0.670 | 0.978 | 0.782 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0051 | [-] | 11.6 | 1.23 | 3.54 | 0.579 | 0.756 | 0.669 | 0.960 | 0.764 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0111 | [-] | 11.5 | 1.09 | 3.47 | 0.356 | 0.769 | 0.669 | 0.975 | 0.770 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0161 | [-] | 11.4 | 0.987 | 3.46 | 0.351 | 0.774 | 0.667 | 0.975 | 0.771 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0281 | [-] | 11.3 | 0.978 | 3.46 | 0.331 | 0.772 | 0.670 | 0.978 | 0.773 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0311 | [-] | 11.4 | 1.04 | 3.45 | 0.362 | 0.767 | 0.675 | 0.975 | 0.773 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0051 | [-] | 10.5 | 0.0798 | 3.27 | 0.311 | 0.803 | 0.670 | 0.979 | 0.780 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0111 | [-] | 10.2 | -0.161 | 3.30 | 0.296 | 0.807 | 0.670 | 0.980 | 0.781 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0161 | [-] | 10.1 | -0.251 | 3.38 | 0.261 | 0.807 | 0.662 | 0.983 | 0.778 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0281 | [-] | 10.4 | 0.0156 | 3.35 | 0.316 | 0.809 | 0.661 | 0.979 | 0.777 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0311 | [-] | 10.2 | -0.207 | 3.34 | 0.321 | 0.805 | 0.664 | 0.979 | 0.778 | ||
| IPSL-CM6A-LR | [-] | 9.89 | -0.487 | 3.60 | 0.563 | 0.784 | 0.658 | 0.954 | 0.763 | ||
| MIROC-ES2L | [-] | 12.1 | 1.86 | 3.90 | 0.297 | 0.740 | 0.667 | 0.973 | 0.762 | ||
| NorESM2-LM | [-] | 12.2 | 1.81 | 3.88 | 0.619 | 0.726 | 0.667 | 0.959 | 0.755 | ||
| UKESM1-0-LL | [-] | 9.74 | -0.641 | 3.90 | 0.482 | 0.769 | 0.634 | 0.957 | 0.749 |
Download Data |
Period Mean (original grids) [degC] |
Bias [degC] |
RMSE [degC] |
Phase Shift [months] |
Bias Score [1] |
RMSE Score [1] |
Seasonal Cycle Score [1] |
Overall Score [1] |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | [-] | 2.65 | |||||||||
| CanESM5 | [-] | 2.70 | 0.0525 | 3.81 | 0.162 | 0.865 | 0.687 | 0.989 | 0.807 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0051 | [-] | 3.10 | 0.449 | 3.96 | 0.0810 | 0.867 | 0.675 | 0.995 | 0.803 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0111 | [-] | 2.99 | 0.335 | 3.88 | 0.0810 | 0.873 | 0.673 | 0.995 | 0.803 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0161 | [-] | 3.03 | 0.374 | 3.95 | 0.0810 | 0.876 | 0.673 | 0.995 | 0.804 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0281 | [-] | 3.21 | 0.555 | 4.01 | 0.0810 | 0.865 | 0.674 | 0.995 | 0.802 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0311 | [-] | 3.09 | 0.440 | 3.85 | 0.0810 | 0.872 | 0.680 | 0.995 | 0.807 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0051 | [-] | 4.38 | 1.73 | 4.46 | 0.182 | 0.799 | 0.666 | 0.988 | 0.779 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0111 | [-] | 4.06 | 1.41 | 4.27 | 0.122 | 0.823 | 0.669 | 0.992 | 0.788 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0161 | [-] | 3.99 | 1.34 | 4.14 | 0.162 | 0.827 | 0.674 | 0.989 | 0.791 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0281 | [-] | 3.89 | 1.24 | 4.29 | 0.122 | 0.829 | 0.666 | 0.992 | 0.788 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0311 | [-] | 3.97 | 1.32 | 4.22 | 0.0810 | 0.819 | 0.679 | 0.995 | 0.793 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0051 | [-] | 3.06 | 0.407 | 3.86 | 0.0810 | 0.871 | 0.682 | 0.995 | 0.807 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0111 | [-] | 2.62 | -0.0289 | 3.82 | 0.0810 | 0.890 | 0.682 | 0.995 | 0.812 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0161 | [-] | 2.36 | -0.292 | 3.93 | 0.0810 | 0.882 | 0.670 | 0.995 | 0.804 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0281 | [-] | 2.81 | 0.163 | 3.98 | 0.0810 | 0.882 | 0.666 | 0.995 | 0.802 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0311 | [-] | 2.50 | -0.156 | 3.95 | 0.0810 | 0.882 | 0.677 | 0.995 | 0.808 | ||
| IPSL-CM6A-LR | [-] | 2.60 | -0.0541 | 4.16 | 0.0810 | 0.888 | 0.656 | 0.995 | 0.799 | ||
| MIROC-ES2L | [-] | 3.45 | 0.800 | 4.04 | 0.0608 | 0.862 | 0.676 | 0.996 | 0.803 | ||
| NorESM2-LM | [-] | 3.31 | 0.654 | 4.13 | 0.485 | 0.837 | 0.678 | 0.967 | 0.790 | ||
| UKESM1-0-LL | [-] | 0.823 | -1.83 | 4.52 | 0.162 | 0.824 | 0.643 | 0.989 | 0.775 |
Download Data |
Period Mean (original grids) [degC] |
Bias [degC] |
RMSE [degC] |
Phase Shift [months] |
Bias Score [1] |
RMSE Score [1] |
Seasonal Cycle Score [1] |
Overall Score [1] |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | [-] | 25.8 | |||||||||
| CanESM5 | [-] | 30.4 | 4.63 | 5.16 | 0.00 | 0.0206 | 0.149 | 1.00 | 0.329 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0051 | [-] | 25.9 | 0.105 | 0.879 | 0.678 | 0.837 | 0.342 | 0.955 | 0.619 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0111 | [-] | 26.0 | 0.239 | 0.988 | 0.678 | 0.721 | 0.329 | 0.955 | 0.583 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0161 | [-] | 25.8 | 0.0872 | 0.842 | 1.02 | 0.849 | 0.358 | 0.933 | 0.624 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0281 | [-] | 25.9 | 0.108 | 0.902 | 1.02 | 0.824 | 0.341 | 0.933 | 0.610 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0311 | [-] | 25.8 | 0.0787 | 0.811 | 1.02 | 0.851 | 0.372 | 0.933 | 0.632 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0051 | [-] | 26.4 | 0.666 | 1.05 | 1.02 | 0.420 | 0.374 | 0.933 | 0.525 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0111 | [-] | 26.4 | 0.626 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 0.443 | 0.382 | 0.933 | 0.535 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0161 | [-] | 26.3 | 0.582 | 1.18 | 1.02 | 0.468 | 0.300 | 0.933 | 0.500 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0281 | [-] | 26.4 | 0.603 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 0.455 | 0.351 | 0.933 | 0.523 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0311 | [-] | 26.3 | 0.577 | 1.11 | 1.02 | 0.471 | 0.348 | 0.933 | 0.525 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0051 | [-] | 26.9 | 1.12 | 1.67 | 0.678 | 0.271 | 0.263 | 0.955 | 0.438 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0111 | [-] | 26.7 | 0.905 | 1.51 | 0.678 | 0.357 | 0.261 | 0.955 | 0.458 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0161 | [-] | 26.8 | 1.04 | 1.52 | 0.678 | 0.298 | 0.303 | 0.955 | 0.465 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0281 | [-] | 26.8 | 0.993 | 1.40 | 0.678 | 0.318 | 0.277 | 0.955 | 0.457 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0311 | [-] | 26.9 | 1.12 | 1.54 | 0.678 | 0.281 | 0.297 | 0.955 | 0.457 | ||
| IPSL-CM6A-LR | [-] | 26.2 | 0.430 | 1.00 | 0.339 | 0.567 | 0.349 | 0.978 | 0.561 | ||
| MIROC-ES2L | [-] | 25.8 | 0.0182 | 1.33 | 1.69 | 0.889 | 0.229 | 0.810 | 0.539 | ||
| NorESM2-LM | [-] | 26.8 | 1.02 | 1.39 | 0.339 | 0.271 | 0.339 | 0.978 | 0.482 | ||
| UKESM1-0-LL | [-] | 28.1 | 2.34 | 2.94 | 0.00 | 0.0602 | 0.211 | 1.00 | 0.370 |
Download Data |
Period Mean (original grids) [degC] |
Bias [degC] |
RMSE [degC] |
Phase Shift [months] |
Bias Score [1] |
RMSE Score [1] |
Seasonal Cycle Score [1] |
Overall Score [1] |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | [-] | 8.04 | |||||||||
| CanESM5 | [-] | 8.71 | 0.785 | 3.80 | 0.352 | 0.814 | 0.686 | 0.976 | 0.790 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0051 | [-] | 8.52 | 0.530 | 3.54 | 0.323 | 0.844 | 0.692 | 0.978 | 0.801 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0111 | [-] | 8.36 | 0.374 | 3.50 | 0.260 | 0.843 | 0.690 | 0.983 | 0.801 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0161 | [-] | 8.43 | 0.437 | 3.58 | 0.267 | 0.844 | 0.687 | 0.982 | 0.800 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0281 | [-] | 8.53 | 0.538 | 3.47 | 0.506 | 0.846 | 0.698 | 0.966 | 0.802 | ||
| E3SMv3 default 0311 | [-] | 8.29 | 0.296 | 3.42 | 0.225 | 0.847 | 0.695 | 0.985 | 0.806 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0051 | [-] | 9.49 | 1.50 | 3.79 | 0.555 | 0.792 | 0.694 | 0.963 | 0.786 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0111 | [-] | 9.32 | 1.33 | 3.76 | 0.274 | 0.805 | 0.690 | 0.982 | 0.792 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0161 | [-] | 9.19 | 1.20 | 3.68 | 0.253 | 0.811 | 0.695 | 0.983 | 0.796 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0281 | [-] | 9.20 | 1.21 | 3.72 | 0.232 | 0.813 | 0.694 | 0.984 | 0.796 | ||
| E3SMv3 highECS 0311 | [-] | 9.29 | 1.30 | 3.68 | 0.295 | 0.807 | 0.701 | 0.980 | 0.797 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0051 | [-] | 8.25 | 0.264 | 3.45 | 0.225 | 0.844 | 0.699 | 0.985 | 0.807 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0111 | [-] | 7.99 | -0.00442 | 3.47 | 0.232 | 0.847 | 0.697 | 0.984 | 0.806 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0161 | [-] | 7.90 | -0.0916 | 3.63 | 0.183 | 0.849 | 0.680 | 0.988 | 0.799 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0281 | [-] | 8.23 | 0.237 | 3.56 | 0.246 | 0.849 | 0.686 | 0.983 | 0.801 | ||
| E3SMv3 lowECS 0311 | [-] | 7.93 | -0.0657 | 3.57 | 0.253 | 0.847 | 0.689 | 0.983 | 0.802 | ||
| IPSL-CM6A-LR | [-] | 7.59 | -0.411 | 3.82 | 0.499 | 0.820 | 0.681 | 0.966 | 0.787 | ||
| MIROC-ES2L | [-] | 9.87 | 1.95 | 4.12 | 0.179 | 0.775 | 0.698 | 0.988 | 0.790 | ||
| NorESM2-LM | [-] | 10.1 | 2.08 | 4.13 | 0.625 | 0.767 | 0.694 | 0.958 | 0.778 | ||
| UKESM1-0-LL | [-] | 7.36 | -0.644 | 4.19 | 0.366 | 0.816 | 0.646 | 0.975 | 0.771 |






























