Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.95/0.14 ----/0.02 ERA5-ENS #1 0.99/0.09 1.00/0.05 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.09/3.59 0.12/0.18 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.01 0.98/0.08 1.00/0.41 ERA5-ENS #2 0.97/0.20 0.99/0.40 0.94/0.12 0.98/0.08 0.10/5.01 -0.15/0.19 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.03 1.00/0.03 0.99/0.03 0.98/0.09 0.99/0.61 ERA5-ENS #3 0.99/0.12 1.00/0.05 0.96/0.08 0.97/0.10 0.04/3.10 -0.10/0.19 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.03 1.00/0.03 0.99/0.03 0.98/0.09 0.99/0.43 ERA5-ENS #4 0.97/0.18 1.00/0.22 0.93/0.11 0.98/0.09 0.03/3.90 -0.10/0.19 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.02 0.99/0.03 0.98/0.09 0.99/0.51 ERA5-ENS #5 0.99/0.12 1.00/0.06 0.96/0.10 0.98/0.08 0.04/5.39 0.19/0.18 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.03 0.98/0.03 0.98/0.09 0.99/0.61 ERA5-ENS #6 0.94/0.26 0.98/0.46 0.85/0.16 0.96/0.10 0.19/3.71 -0.14/0.19 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.03 0.99/0.03 0.98/0.09 0.98/0.53 ERA5-ENS #7 0.97/0.21 0.99/0.40 0.91/0.12 0.97/0.09 0.10/3.01 -0.11/0.19 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.02 0.99/0.03 0.98/0.09 0.99/0.45 ERA5-ENS #8 0.99/0.12 1.00/0.05 0.95/0.09 0.96/0.10 0.15/2.45 -0.11/0.19 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.03 1.00/0.03 0.98/0.03 0.98/0.09 0.99/0.38 ERA5-ENS #9 0.97/0.20 0.99/0.33 0.95/0.10 0.97/0.09 0.14/2.77 -0.21/0.19 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.03 1.00/0.03 0.98/0.03 0.98/0.09 0.99/0.43 ERA5-ENS #10 0.91/0.37 0.96/0.71 0.86/0.16 0.93/0.14 0.05/3.63 0.01/0.19 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.03 1.00/0.02 0.99/0.03 0.98/0.09 0.98/0.55 GFDL-AMIP #1 0.72/0.67 0.86/1.24 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.06 ----/---- ----/---- 0.83/0.96 0.85/0.70 0.95/0.42 0.96/0.04 0.91/0.24 ----/---- E3SMv2-AMIP #1 0.71/0.60 0.84/1.32 0.98/0.06 0.99/0.06 -0.07/10.31 -0.08/0.18 0.84/0.92 0.92/0.52 0.96/0.39 0.95/0.04 0.89/0.20 0.88/1.21 E3SMv2-AMIP #2 0.74/0.61 0.78/1.53 0.98/0.06 0.99/0.06 -0.10/13.99 -0.08/0.18 0.85/0.92 0.88/0.86 0.96/0.39 0.95/0.04 0.89/0.20 0.87/1.54 E3SMv2-AMIP #3 0.62/0.71 0.36/2.58 0.98/0.06 0.99/0.06 -0.11/12.16 -0.08/0.18 0.78/1.06 0.93/0.51 0.97/0.90 0.95/0.04 0.89/0.21 0.85/1.47 E3SMv1-AMIP #1 0.64/0.69 0.62/1.94 0.98/0.06 0.99/0.06 0.06/5.58 -0.06/0.18 0.94/0.59 0.90/0.77 0.98/0.54 0.95/0.04 0.88/0.20 0.88/0.88 E3SMv1-AMIP #2 0.64/0.69 0.62/1.94 0.98/0.06 0.99/0.06 0.06/5.58 -0.06/0.18 0.94/0.59 0.90/0.77 0.98/0.54 0.95/0.04 0.88/0.20 0.88/0.88 E3SMv1-AMIP #3 0.71/0.65 0.78/1.52 0.98/0.06 0.99/0.06 0.06/5.58 -0.06/0.18 0.88/0.82 0.77/0.98 0.96/0.65 0.95/0.04 0.88/0.19 0.87/0.89 CESM2-AMIP #1 0.55/0.77 0.59/2.07 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 0.01/2.89 0.01/0.18 0.91/0.92 0.83/0.84 0.94/0.46 0.96/0.04 0.86/0.21 0.87/0.70 CESM2-AMIP #2 0.59/0.79 0.68/1.84 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 0.04/2.52 0.01/0.18 0.91/0.76 0.90/0.78 0.90/0.59 0.96/0.04 0.85/0.63 0.87/0.72 CESM2-AMIP #3 0.68/0.70 0.72/1.88 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 0.00/3.65 0.03/0.18 0.93/0.90 0.86/1.04 0.84/0.76 0.96/0.04 0.85/0.22 0.87/0.78 CESM2-AMIP #4 0.59/0.77 0.44/2.54 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 0.04/3.27 0.00/0.18 0.93/1.26 0.88/1.03 0.88/0.65 0.96/0.04 0.86/0.21 0.86/0.79 CESM2-AMIP #5 0.65/0.69 0.50/2.21 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 -0.01/2.86 0.02/0.18 0.94/0.62 0.84/0.86 0.92/0.57 0.96/0.04 0.85/0.22 0.87/0.68 CESM2-AMIP #6 0.67/0.64 0.58/2.00 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 -0.03/5.67 -0.00/0.18 0.85/1.02 0.88/0.88 0.92/0.59 0.96/0.04 0.86/0.21 0.86/0.92 CESM2-AMIP #7 0.59/0.86 0.65/2.27 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 0.00/4.39 0.00/0.18 0.88/0.86 0.87/1.24 0.90/0.59 0.96/0.04 0.85/0.22 0.86/0.87 CESM2-AMIP #8 0.62/0.79 0.64/2.25 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 -0.03/9.31 0.01/0.18 0.87/1.35 0.84/1.40 0.92/0.57 0.96/0.04 0.87/0.21 0.86/1.29 CESM2-AMIP #9 0.70/0.64 0.79/1.50 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 -0.03/5.53 0.01/0.18 0.92/1.06 0.88/1.07 0.91/0.54 0.96/0.04 0.87/0.20 0.88/0.90 CESM2-AMIP #10 0.60/0.76 0.62/1.99 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 -0.03/5.07 -0.02/0.18 0.95/0.80 0.88/0.74 0.90/0.61 0.96/0.04 0.86/0.21 0.87/0.86 MPI-HR-AMIP #1 0.67/0.71 0.85/1.43 0.97/0.06 0.98/0.06 0.01/4.27 -0.00/0.18 0.81/1.27 0.88/1.19 0.97/0.51 0.96/0.04 0.86/0.27 0.87/0.83 MPI-HR-AMIP #2 0.62/0.86 0.80/1.78 0.97/0.06 0.98/0.06 -0.05/3.03 -0.01/0.18 0.85/0.97 0.87/1.22 0.96/0.67 0.96/0.04 0.87/0.26 0.86/0.76 MPI-HR-AMIP #3 0.67/0.77 0.66/2.16 0.97/0.06 0.98/0.06 0.01/4.22 0.00/0.18 0.92/0.80 0.87/1.20 0.97/0.59 0.96/0.04 0.87/0.26 0.86/0.84 CAMS-AMIP #1 0.67/0.68 0.55/2.13 0.98/0.09 0.98/0.07 0.00/5.67 0.02/0.18 0.90/0.78 0.75/0.90 0.96/0.77 0.95/0.04 0.85/0.31 0.84/0.95 CAMS-AMIP #2 0.67/0.69 0.62/2.07 0.98/0.09 0.98/0.07 0.05/5.10 0.01/0.18 0.91/0.77 0.87/0.91 0.96/0.47 0.95/0.04 0.84/0.34 0.86/0.89 CAMS-AMIP #3 0.73/0.60 0.74/1.64 0.98/0.09 0.98/0.07 0.02/5.39 0.01/0.18 0.85/0.97 0.87/0.82 0.96/0.61 0.95/0.04 0.84/0.32 0.86/0.90