C20C+ Detection and Attribution Project    

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  LBNL/ CAM5.1-1degree

  LBNL/ CAM5.1-2degree

  LBNL/ CAM5.1.2-0.25degree




  NOAA-ESRLandCIRES/ CAM5.1.1-1degree










  • Angélil, O., S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, L. V. Alexander, D. Stone, M. G. Donat, M. Wehner, H. Shiogama, A. Ciavarella, and N. Christidis. 2016. Comparing regional precipitation and temperature extremes in climate model and reanalysis products. Weather and Climate Extremes, 13, 35-43, 10.1016/j.wace.2016.07.001.
  • Christidis, N., M. McCarthy, A. Ciavarella, and P. A. Stott. 2016. Human contribution to the record sunshine of winter 2014/15 in the United Kingdom. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, S47-S50, 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0143.1.
  • Hoell, A., M. Hoerling, J. Eischeid, K. Wolter, R. Dole, J. Perlwitz, T. Xu, and L. Cheng. 2016. Does El Niño intensity matter for California precipitation? Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 819-825, 10.1002/2015GL067102.
  • Lawal, K. A., A. A. Abatan, O. Angélil, E. Olaniyan, V. H. Olusoji, P. G. Oguntunde, B. Lamptey, B. J. Abiodun, H. Shiogama, M. F. Wehner, and D. A. Stone. 2016. The late onset of the 2015 wet season in Nigeria. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0131.2.
  • Nguyen, H., D. Stone, and E. W. Bethel. 2016. Statistical projections for multi-dimensional visual data exploration. 2016 IEEE 6th Symposium on Large Data Analysis and Visualization (LDAV), 23-28 October, Baltimore, Maryland, U.S.A., doi:10.1109/LDAV.2016.7874338.
  • Shiogama, H., Y. Imada, M. Mori, R. Mizuta, D. Stone, K. Yoshida, O. Arakawa, M. Ikeda, C. Takahashi, M. Arai, M. Ishii, M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto. 2016. Attributing historical changes in probabilities of record-breaking daily temperature and precipitation extreme events. Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere, 45, 679-695, 10.1007/s00382-014-2283-5.
  • Takahashi, C., M. Watanabe, H. Shiogama, Y. Imada, and M. Mori. 2016. A persistent Japanese heat wave in early August 2015: roles of natural variability and human-induced warming. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, S107-S112, 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0157.2.
  • Wehner, M., D. Stone, H. Krishnan, K. AchutaRao, and F. Castillo. 2016. The deadly combination of heat and humidity in India and Pakistan in summer 2015. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97.



  • Angélil, O., D. A. Stone, M. Tadross, F. Tummon, M. Wehner, and R. Knutti. 2014. Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: sensitivity to spatial and temporal scales. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, doi:10.1002/2014GL059234.
  • Imada, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, M. Mori, Y. Kamae, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2014. The contribution of anthropogenic forcing to the Japanese heat waves of 2013. In: Explaining Extreme Events of 2013 from a Climate Perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(9), S52-S54.
  • Kamae, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto. 2014. Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 5192-5199, doi:10.1002/2014GL061062.
  • Lestari, R. K., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, H. Shiogama, R. D. Field, T. Takemura, and M. Kimoto. 2014. Increasing potential of biomass burning over Sumatra, Indonesia induced by anthropogenic tropical warming. Environmental Research Letters, 9, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/10/104010.
  • Mori, M., M. Watanabe, H. Shiogama, J. Inoue, and M. Kimoto. 2014. Robust Arctic sea-ice influence to frequent Eurasian cold winters in the recent past. Nature Geoscience, 7, 869-873, doi:10.1038/ngeo2277.
  • Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, M. Mori, Y. Kamae, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2014. Attribution of the June-July 2013 heat wave in the southwestern United States. SOLA, 10, 122-126, doi:10.2151/sola.2014-025.
  • Watanabe, M., H. Shiogama, H. Tatebe, M. Hayashi, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2014. Contribution of natural decadal variability to global-warming acceleration and hiatus. Nature Climate Change, 4, 893-897, doi:10.1038/nclimate2355.
  • Wolski, P., D. Stone, M. Tadross, M. Wehner, B. Hewitson. 2014. Attribution of floods in the Okavango basin, Southern Africa. Journal of Hydrology, 511, 350-358.


  • Christidis, N., P. A. Stott, A. A. Scaife, A. Arribas, G. S. Jones, D. Copsey, J. R. Knight, and W. J. Tennant. 2013. A new HadGEM3-A-based system for attribution of weather- and climate-related extreme events. Journal of Climate, 26, 2756-2783.
  • Imada, Y., M. Watanabe, M. Mori, M. Kimoto, H. Shiogama, and M. Ishii. 2013. Contribution of atmospheric circulation change to the 2012 heavy rainfall in southern Japan. In: Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94(9), S52-S54.
  • Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, M. Mori, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2013. An Event Attribution of the 2010 Drought in the South Amazon Region using the MIROC5 Model. Atmospheric Science Letters, 14(3), 170-175, doi:10.1002/asl2.435
  • Watanabe, M., H. Shiogama, Y. Imada, M. Mori, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2013. Event attribution of the August 2010 Russian heat wave. SOLA, 9, 65-68, doi:10.2151/sola.2013-015.



  • Stone, D., N. Christidis, C. Folland, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, J. Perlwitz, H. Shiogama, M. Wehner, P. Wolski, S. Cholia, H. Krishnan, D. Murray, O. Angélil, U. Beyerle, A. Ciavarella, A. Dittus, X.-W. Quan, and M. Tadross. 2019. Progress in the International CLIVAR C20C+ Detection and Attribution Project. 14th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology, Toulouse, France.



  • Stone, D., O. Angélil, S. Cholia, N. Christidis, A. Ciavarella, A. Dittus, C. Folland, J. Jin, A. King, J. Kinter, H. Krishnan, K. Lawal, S.-K. Min, D. Murray, S. Perkins, J. Perlwitz, M. Risser, H. Shiogama, M. Wehner, and P. Wolski. 2016. The Climate of the 20th Century Plus Detection and Attribution Project: Experimental design. CLIVAR Open Science Conference, Qingdao, China
  • Risser, M., C. Paciorek, D. Stone, M. Wehner, and O. Angélil. 2016. Quantifying the effect of ocean variability on the attribution of extreme climate events to human influence. International Detection and Attribution Group Meeting, Boulder, Colorado, U.S.A.


  • Wolski, P., D. Stone, M. Tadross, B. Hewitson, and M. Wehner. 2015. Attributing the risk of late onset of the rainy season in Southern Africa to climate change. American Geophysical Union's Fall Meeting, San Francisco, California, U.S.A.
  • Stone, D., H. Shiogama, P. Wolski, O. Angélil, S. Cholias, N. Christidis, A. Dittus, C. Folland, A. King, J. Kinter, H. Krishnan, S.-K. Min, and M. Wehner. 2015. The C20C+ Detection and Attribution Project. American Geophysical Union's Fall Meeting, San Francisco, California, U.S.A.


  • Stone, D., M. Wehner, S. Cholia, H. Krishnan, P. Wolski, M. Tadross, C. Folland, N. Christidis, and H. Shiogama. 2014. The C20C+ Detection and Attribution Project. Integrated Climate Modeling Principal Investigator Meeting 2014, U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Science, Potomac, Maryland, U.S.A.

    • REPORTS •

  Status reports

  Meeting reports


  ARTMIP (Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project)

  • Shields, C. A., J. J. Rutz, L.-Y. Leung, F. M. Ralph, M. Wehner, B. Kawzenuk, J. M. Lora, E. McClenny, T. Osborne, A. E. Payne, P. Ullrich, A. Gershunov, N. Goldenson, B. Guan, Y. Qian, A. M. Ramos, C. Sarangi, S. Sellars, I. Gorodetskaya, K. Kashinath, V. Kurlin, K. Mahoney, G. Muszynski, R. Pierce, A. C. Subramanian, R. Tome, D. Waliser, D. Walton, G. Wick, A. Wilson, D. Lavers, Prabhat, A. Collow, H. Krishnan, G. Magnusdottir, and P. Nguyen. 2018. Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project(ARTMIP): project goals and experimental design. Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2455-2474, 10.5194/gmd-11-2455-2018.

  DAMIP (Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project)

  HAPPI (Half a degree Additional warming, Prognosis and Projected Impacts)

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