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    • DESIGN PAPERS •
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  General descriptions
- Stone, D. A., N. Christidis, C. Folland, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, J. Perlwitz, H. Shiogama, M. F. Wehner, P. Wolski, S. Cholia, H. Krishnan, D. Murray, O. Angélil, U. Beyerle, A. Ciavarella, A. Dittus, X.-W. Quan, and M. Tadross. 2019. Experiment design of the International CLIVAR C20C+ Detection and Attribution Project. Weather and Climate Extremes, 10.1016/j.wace.2019.100206.
- Folland, C., D. Stone, C. Frederiksen, D. Karoly, and J. Kinter. 2014. The International CLIVAR Climate of the 20th Century Plus (C20C+) Project: Report of the Sixth Workshop. CLIVAR Exchanges, 19, 57-59.
- Kinter, J., and C. Folland. 2011. The international CLIVAR Climate of the 20th Century Project: Report of the Fifth Workshop. CLIVAR Exchanges, 16, 39-42.
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  Further details on experiment design
- Stone, D. A., and P. Pall. 2021. A benchmark estimate of the effect of anthropogenic emissions on the ocean surface. International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7002.
- Sun, L., D. Allured, M. Hoerling, L. Smith, J. Perlwitz, D. Murray, and J. Eischeid. 2018. Drivers of 2016 record Arctic warmth assessed using climate simulations subjected to Factual and Counterfactual forcing. Weather and Climate Extremes, 19, 1-9, 10.1016/j.wace.2017.11.001..
- Christidis, N., and P. A. Stott. 2014. Change in the odds of warm years and seasons due to anthropogenic influence on the climate. Journal of Climate, 27, 2607-2621.
- Christidis, N., P. A. Stott, A. A. Scaife, A. Arribas, G. S. Jones, D. Copsey, J. R. Knight, and W. J. Tennant. 2013. A new HadGEM3-A-based system for attribution of weather- and climate-related extreme events. Journal of Climate, 26, 2756-2783.
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  Informal notes
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    • EXPERIMENT PAPERS •
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  ARCCSS/ ACCESS1-3
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  LBNL/ CAM5.1-1degree
- Stone, D. A., M. D. Risser, O. M. Angélil, M. F. Wehner, S. Cholia, N. Keen, H. Krishnan, T. A. O'Brien, and W. D. Collins. 2018. A basis set for exploration of sensitivity to prescribed ocean conditions for estimating human contributions to extreme weather in CAM5.1-1degree. Weather and Climate Extremes, 19, 10-19, 10.1016/j.wace.2017.12.003.
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  LBNL/ CAM5.1-2degree
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  LBNL/ CAM5.1.2-0.25degree
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  MIROC/ MIROC5
- Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, M. Mori, Y. Kamae, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2014. Attribution of the June-July 2013 heat wave in the southwestern United States. SOLA, 10, 122-126, doi:10.2151/sola.2014-025.
- Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, M. Mori, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2013. An Event Attribution of the 2010 Drought in the South Amazon Region using the MIROC5 Model. Atmospheric Science Letters, 14(3), 170-175, doi:10.1002/asl2.435
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  MOHC/ HadGEM3-A-N216
- Ciavarella, A., N. Christidis, M. Andrews, M. Groenendijk, J. Rostron, M. Elkington, C. Burke, F. C.Lott, and P. A. Stott. 2018. Upgrade of the HadGEM3-A based attribution system to high resolution and a new validation framework for probabilistic event attribution. Weather and Climate Extremes, 20, 9-32, 10.1016/j.wace.2018.03.003.
- Christidis, N., P. A. Stott, A. A. Scaife, A. Arribas, G. S. Jones, D. Copsey, J. R. Knight, and W. J. Tennant. 2013. A new HadGEM3-A-based system for attribution of weather- and climate-related extreme events. Journal of Climate, 26, 2756-2783.
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  NIWA/ CCAM-C288-NZ12km
- Gibson, P. B., D. Stone, M. Thatcher, A. Broadbent, S. Dean, S. M. Rosier, S. Stuart, and A. Sood. 2023. High-resolution CCAM simulations over New Zealand and the South Pacific for the detection and attribution of weather extremes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, in press.
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  NOAA-ESRLandCIRES/ CAM4
- Quan, X.-W., M. P. Hoerling, J. Perlwitz, H. F. Diaz, and T. Xu. 2014. How fast are the tropics expanding? Journal of Climate, 27, 1999-2013, 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00287.
- Hoerling, M., J. Eischeid, J. Perlwitz, X.-W. Quan, K. Wolter, and L. Cheng. 2016. Characterizing recent trends in U.S. heavy precipitation. Journal of Climate, 29, 2313-2332, 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0441.1.
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  NOAA-ESRLandCIRES/ CAM5.1.1-1degree
- Quan, X., M. Hoerling, L. Smith, J. Perlwitz, T. Zhang, A. Hoell, K. Wolter, and J. Eischeid. Extreme California rains during winter 2015/16: A change in ElNiño teleconnection? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99, S49-S53, 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0118.1.
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  NOAA-ESRLandCIRES/ ECHAM5.4
- Hoell, A., M. Hoerling, J. Eischeid, X.-W. Quan, and B. Liebmann B. 2017. Reconciling theories for human and natural attribution of recent East Africa drying. Journal of Climate, 30, 1939-1957, 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0558.1.
- Sun, L., D. Allured, M. Hoerling, L. Smith, J. Perlwitz, D. Murray, and J. Eischeid. 2018 Drivers of 2016 record Arctic warmth assessed using climate simulations subjected to Factual and Counterfactual forcing. Weather and Climate Extremes, 19, 1-9, 10.1016/j.wace.2017.11.001.
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  UCT-CSAG/ HadAM3P-N96
- Lawal, K., P. Wolski, C. Lennard, M. Tadross, B. Abiodun, O. Ang\'elil, R. Cerezo Mota, and D. Stone. 2015. Predictability and attribution of the South African seasonal climate. Water Research Commission, South Africa, WRC Report No 2067/1/15, ISBN 978-1-4312-0633-9.
- Wolski, P., D. Stone, M. Tadross, M. Wehner, B. Hewitson. 2014. Attribution of floods in the Okavango basin, Southern Africa. Journal of Hydrology, 511, 350-358.
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    • GENERAL PUBLICATION LIST •
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  In press
- Gibson, P. B., D. Stone, M. Thatcher, A. Broadbent, S. Dean, S. M. Rosier, S. Stuart, and A. Sood. 2023. High-resolution CCAM simulations over New Zealand and the South Pacific for the detection and attribution of weather extremes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, in press.
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  2022
- Bigalke, S., and J. E. Walsh. 2022. Future changes of snow in Alaska and the Arctic under stabilized global warming scenarios. Atmosphere, 10.3390/atmos13040541.
- Kimutai, J., M. New, P. Wolski, and F. Otto. 2022. Attribution of the human influence on heavy rainfall associated with flooding events during the 2012, 2016, and 2018 March-April-May seasons in Kenya. Weather and Climate Extremes, 38, 100529, 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100529.
- Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., D. A. Stone, D. M. Mitchell, S. Rosier, A. D. King, Y. T. E. Lo, J. Pastor-Paz, D. Frame, and M. Wehner. 2022. On the attribution of the impacts of extreme weather events to anthropogenic climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 17, 024009, 10.1088/1748-9326/ac44c8.
- Philip, S. Y., S. F. Kew, G. J. van Oldenborgh, F. S. Anslow, S. I. Seneviratne, R. Vautard, D. Coumou, K. L. Ebi, J. Arrighi, R. Singh, M. van Aalst, C. Pereira Marghidan, M. Wehner, W. Yang, S. Li, D. L. Schumacher, M. Hauser, R. Bonnet, L. N. Luu, F. Lehner, N. Gillett, J. S. Tradowsky, G. A. Vecchi, C. Rodell, R. B. Stull, R. Howard, and F. E. L. Otto. 2022. Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021. Earth System Dynamics, 13, 1689-1713, 10.5194/esd-13-1689-2022.
- Stone, D. A., K. A. Lawal, C. Lennard, M. Tadross, P. Wolski, and M. F. Wehner. 2022. The life and times of the Weather Risk Attribution Forecast. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, S1-S6, 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0263.1.
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Stone, D. A., S. M. Rosier, L. Bird, L. J. Harrington, S. Rana, S. Stuart, and S. M. Dean. 2022. The effect of experiment conditioning on estimates of human influence on extreme weather. Weather and Climate Extremes, 36, 100427, 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100427.
- Wu, H., J. Zhang, Z. Bao, G. Wang, W. Wang, Y. Yang, J. Wang, and G. Kan. 2022. The impacts of natural and anthropogenic factors on vegetation change in the Yellow-Huai-Hai River Basin. Frontiers in Earth Science, 10, 10.3389/feart.2022.959403.
- Zhang, W., L. Ren, and T. Zhou. 2022. Understanding differences in event attribution results arising from modeling strategy. Journal of Meteorological Research, 36, 49-60, 10.1007/s13351-022-1109-3.
- Zhao, D., L. Zhang, and T. Zhou. 2022. Detectable anthropogenic forcing on the long-term changes of summer precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau. Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06189-1.
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  2021
- Hirabayashi, Y., H. Alifu, D. Yamazaki, Y. Imada, H. Shiogama, and Y. Kimura. 2021. Anthropogenic climate change has changed frequency of past flood during 2010-2013. Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 8, 10.1186/s40645-021-00431-w.
- Reed, K. A., M. F. Wehner, A. M. Stansfield, and C. M. Zarzycki. 2021. Anthropogenic influence on Hurricane Dorian's extreme rainfall. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102, S9-S15,10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0160.1.
- Rhoades, A. M., M. D. Risser, D. A. Stone, M. F. Wehner, and A. D. Jones. 2021. Implications of warming on western United States landfalling atmospheric rivers and their flood damages. Weather and Climate Extremes, 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100326.
- Stone, D. A., and P. Pall. 2021. A benchmark estimate of the effect of anthropogenic emissions on the ocean surface. International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7002.
- Xu, Y., Y. Liu, Z. Han, B. Zhou, Y. Ding, J. Wu, T. Tian, R. Li, and J. Wang. 2021. Influence of Human Activities on Wintertime Haze-Related Meteorological Conditions over the Jing–Jin–Ji Region. Engineering, 7, 1185-1192, 10.1016/j.eng.2020.03.015.
- Zhang, G., C. Azorin-Molina, D. Chen, T. R. McVicar, J. A. Guijarro, F. Kong, L. Minola, K. Deng, and P. Shi. 2021. Uneven warming likely contributed to declining near-surface wind speeds in northern China between 1961 and 2016. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD033637, 10.1029/2020JD033637.
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  2020
- Du, J., K. Wang, B. Cui, S. Jiang, and G. Wu. 2020. Attribution of the record-breaking consecutive dry days in winter 2017/18 in Beijing. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, S95-S101, 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0139.1.
- Hirasawa, H., P.J. Kushner, M. Sigmond, J. Fyfe, and C. Deser. 2020. Anthropogenic aerosols dominate forced multidecadal Sahel precipitation change through distinct atmospheric and oceanic drivers. Journal of Climate, 33, 10187-10204, 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0829.1.
- Leach, N. J., S. Li, S. Sparrow, G. J. van Oldenborgh, F. C. Lott, A. Weisheimer, and M. R. Allen. 2020. Anthropogenic influence on the 2018 summer warm spell in Europe: the impact of different spatio-temporal scales.. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, S41-46, 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0201.1.
- Min, S.-K., Y.-H. Kim, S.-M. Lee, S. Sparrow, S. Li, F. C. Lott, and P. A. Stott. 2020. Quantifying human impact on the 2018 summer longest heat wave in South Korea. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, S103-S108, 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0151.1.
- Murray, D., A. Hoell, M. Hoerling, J. Perlwitz, X.-W. Quan, D. Allured, T. Zhang, J. Eischeid, C. A. Smith, J. Barsugli, J. McWhirter, C. Kreutzer, and R. S. Webb. 2020. Facility for Weather ad Climate Assessments (FACTS): a community resource for assessing weather and climate variability. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, E1214-E1224, 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0224.1.
- Reed, K. A., A. M. Stansfield, M. F. Wehner, and C. M. Zarzycki. 2020. Forecasted attribution of the human influence on Hurricane Florence. Science Advances, 6, eaaw9253, 10.1126/sciadv.aaw9253.
- Ren, L., D. Wang, N. An, S. Ding, K. Yang, R. Yu, N. Freychet, S. F. B. Tett, B. Dong, and F. C. Lott. 2020. Anthropogenic influences on the persistent night-time heat wave in summer 2018 over Northeast China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, S83-S87, 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0152.1.
- Rhoades, A. M., A. D. Jones, T. A. O'Brien, J. P. O'Brien, P. A. Ullrich, and C. M. Zarzycki. 2020. Influences of North Pacific Ocean domain extent on the western U.S. winter hydroclimatology in variable‐resolution CESM. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD031977, 10.1029/2019JD031977
- Shiogama, H., R. Hirata, T. Hasegawa, S. Fujimori, N. N. Ishizaki, S. Chatani, M. Watanabe, D. Mitchell, and Y. T. E. Lo. 2020. Historical and future anthropogenic warming effects on droughts, fires and fire emissions of CO2 and PM2.5 in equatorial Asia when 2015-like El Niño events occur. Earth System Dynamics, 11, 435-445, 10.5194/esd-11-435-2020.
- Sun, Y., S. Dong, T. Hu, X. Zhang, and P. Stott. 2020. Attribution of the warmest spring of 2018 in northeastern Asia using simulations of a coupled and an atmospheric model. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, S129-134, 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0264.1.
- Zhang, L., T. Zhou, X. Chen, P. Wu, N. Christidis, and F. C. Lott. 2020. The late spring drought of 2018 in South China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, S59-S64, 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0202.1.
- Zhang, W., W. Li, L. Zhu, Y. Ma, L. Yang, F. C. Lott, C. Li, S. Dong, S. F. B. Tett, D. Dong, and Y. Sun. 2020. Anthropogenic influence on 2018 summer persistent heavy rainfall in central western China.. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, S65-S70, 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0147.1.
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  2019
- Bellprat, O., V. Guemas, F. Doblas-Reyes, and M. G. Donat. 2019. Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution. Nature Communications, 10, 10.1038/s41467-019-09729-2.
- Gore, M., B. J. Abiodun, and F. Kucharski. 2019. Understanding the influence of ENSO patterns on drought over southern Africa using SPEEDY.. Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-019-05002-w.
- Lawal, K. A., B. J. Abiodun, D. A. Stone, E. Olaniyan, and M. F. Wehner. 2019. Capability of CAM5.1 in simulating maximum air temperature anomaly patterns over West Africa during boreal spring. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, 5, 1815-1838, 10.1007/s40808-019-00639-2.
- Min, S.-K., Y.-H. Kim, I.-H. Park, D. Lee, S. Sparrow, D. Wallom, and D. Stone. 2019. Anthropogenic contribution to the 2017 earliest summer onset in South Korea Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100, S73-S77, 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0096.1.
- Patricola, C. M., J. P. O'Brien, M. D. Risser, A. M. Rhoades, T. A. O'Brien, P. A. Ullrich, D. A. Stone, and W. D. Collins. 2019. Maximizing ENSO as a source of western US hydroclimate predictability. Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-019-05004-8.
- Rimi, R. H., K. Haustein, E. J. Barbour, and M. R. Allen. 2019. Risks of pre-monsoon extreme rainfall event of Bangladesh: is anthropogenic climate change playing a role? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100, S61-S65, 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0152.1.
- Risser, M. D., C. J. Paciorek, and D. A. Stone. 2019. Spatially-dependent multiple testing under model misspecification, with application to detection of anthropogenic influence on extreme climate events. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 114, 61-78, 10.1080/01621459.2018.1451335.
- Sassi, M., L. Nicotina, P. Pall, D. Stone, A. Hilberts, M. Wehner, and S. Jewson. 2019. Impact of climate change on European winter and summer flood losses. Advances in Water Resources, 219, 165-177, 10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.05.014.
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Stone, D. A. 2019. A hierarchical collection of political/economic regions for analysis of climate extremes. Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-019-02479-6.
- Stone, D. A., N. Christidis, C. Folland, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, J. Perlwitz, H. Shiogama, M. F. Wehner, P. Wolski, S. Cholia, H. Krishnan, D. Murray, O. Angélil, U. Beyerle, A. Ciavarella, A. Dittus, X.-W. Quan, and M. Tadross. 2019. Experiment design of the International CLIVAR C20C+ Detection and Attribution Project. Weather and Climate Extremes, 10.1016/j.wace.2019.100206.
- Takahashi, C., H. Shiogama, Y. Imada, Y. Kosaka, M. Mori, M. Arai, Y. Kamae, and M. Watanabe. 2019. The effects of natural variability and climate change on the record low sunshine over Japan during August 2017 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100, S67-S71, 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0107.2.
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  2018
- Angélil, O., D. Stone, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, L. Alexander, M. Wehner, H. Shiogama, P. Wolski, A. Ciavarella, and N. Christidis. In press. On the nonlinearity of spatial scales in extreme weather attribution statements. Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-017-3769-9
- Barcikowska, M. J., S. J. Weaver, F. Feser, S. Russo, F. Schenk, D. A. Stone, M. F. Wehner, and M. Zahn. 2018. Euro-Atlantic winter storminess and precipitation extremes under 1.5°C versus 2°C warming scenarios. Earth System Dynamics, 9, 679-699, 10.5194/esd-9-679-2018.
- Ciavarella, A., N. Christidis, M. Andrews, M. Groenendijk, J. Rostron, M. Elkington, C. Burke, F. C.Lott, and P. A. Stott. 2018. Upgrade of the HadGEM3-A based attribution system to high resolution and a new validation framework for probabilistic event attribution. Weather and Climate Extremes, 20, 9-32, 10.1016/j.wace.2018.03.003.
- Christidis, N., A. Ciavarella, and P. A. Stott. 2018. Different Ways of Framing Event Attribution Questions: The Example of Warm and Wet Winters in the United Kingdom Similar to 2015/16. Journal of Climate, 31, 4827-4845, 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0464.1.
- Dittus, A. J., D. J. Karoly, M. G. Donat, S. C. Lewis, and L. V. Alexander. 2018. Understanding the role of sea surface temperature-forcing for variability in global temperature and precipitation extremes. Weather and Climate Extremes, 21, 1-9, 10.1016/j.wace.2018.06.002.
- Kim, Y.-H., S.-K. Min, D. A. Stone, H. Shiogama, and P. Wolski. 2018. Multi-model event attribution of the summer 2013 heat wave in Korea. Weather and Climate Extremes, 20, 33-44, 10.1016/j.wace.2018.03.004.
- Min, S.-K., Y.-H. Kim, I.-H. Park, D. Lee, S. Sparrow, D. Wallom, and D. Stone. 2018. Anthropogenic contribution to 2017 earliest summer onset in Korea. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 100, S73-S77, 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0096.1.
- Mukherjee, S., S. Aadhar, D. Stone, and V. Mishra. 2018. Increase in extreme precipitation events under anthropogenic warming in India. Weather and Climate Extremes, 20, 45-53, 10.1016/j.wace.2018.03.005.
- Mukherjee, S., and V. Mishra. 2018. A sixfold rise in concurrent day and night-time heatwaves in India under 2°C warming. Scientific Reports, 8, 16922, 10.1038/s41598-018-35348-w.
- Paciorek, C. J., D. A. Stone, and M. F. Wehner. 2018. Quantifying the uncertainty in the attribution of human influence on severe weather. Weather and Climate Extremes, 20, 69-80, 10.1016/j.wace.2018.01.002.
- Peng, D., T. Zhou, L. Zhang, and B. Wu. 2018. Human contribution to the increasing summer precipitation in Central Asia from 1961 to 2013. Journal of Climate, 31, 8005-8021, 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0843.1.
- Shields, C. A., J. J. Rutz, L.-Y. Leung, F. M. Ralph, M. Wehner, B. Kawzenuk, J. M. Lora, E. McClenny, T. Osborne, A. E. Payne, P. Ullrich, A. Gershunov, N. Goldenson, B. Guan, Y. Qian, A. M. Ramos, C. Sarangi, S. Sellars, I. Gorodetskaya, K. Kashinath, V. Kurlin, K. Mahoney, G. Muszynski, R. Pierce, A. C. Subramanian, R. Tome, D. Waliser, D. Walton, G. Wick, A. Wilson, D. Lavers, Prabhat, A. Collow, H. Krishnan, G. Magnusdottir, and P. Nguyen. 2018. Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project(ARTMIP): project goals and experimental design. Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2455-2474, 10.5194/gmd-11-2455-2018.
- Stone, D. A., M. D. Risser, O. M. Angélil, M. F. Wehner, S. Cholia, N. Keen, H. Krishnan, T. A. O'Brien, and W. D. Collins. 2018. A basis set for exploration of sensitivity to prescribed ocean conditions for estimating human contributions to extreme weather in CAM5.1-1degree. Weather and Climate Extremes, 19, 10-19, 10.1016/j.wace.2017.12.003.
- Sun, L., D. Allured, M. Hoerling, L. Smith, J. Perlwitz, D. Murray, and J. Eischeid. 2018 Drivers of 2016 record Arctic warmth assessed using climate simulations subjected to Factual and Counterfactual forcing. Weather and Climate Extremes, 19, 1-9, 10.1016/j.wace.2017.11.001.
- Wehner, M., D. Stone, H. Shiogama, P. Wolski, A. Ciavarella, N. Christidis, and H. Krishnan. 2018. Early 21st century anthropogenic changes in extremely hot days as simulated by the C20C+ Detection and Attribution multi-model ensemble. Weather and Climate Extremes, 20, 1-8, 10.1016/j.wace.2018.03.001.
- Wolter, K., M. Hoerling, J. K. Eischeid, and D. Allured. 2018. Was the January 2016 mid-Atlantic snowstorm "Jonas" symptomatic of climate change? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99, S54-S59 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0130.1.
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  2017
- Angélil, O., D. Stone, M. Wehner, C. J. Paciorek, H. Krishnan, and W. Collins. 2017. An independent assessment of anthropogenic attribution statements for recent extreme temperature and rainfall events. Journal of Climate, 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0077.1.
- Hoell, A., M. Hoerling, J. Eischeid, X.-W. Quan, and B. Liebmann. 2017. Reconciling theories for human and natural attribution of recent East Africa drying. Journal of Climate, 30, 1939-1957, 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0558.1.
- Pall, P., C. M. Patricola, M. Wehner, D. A. Stone, C. J. Paciorek, and W. Collins. 2017. Diagnosing conditional anthropogenic contributions to heavy Colorado rainfall in September 2013. Weather and Climate Extremes, 17, 1-6, 10.1016/j.wace.2017.03.004.
- Risser, M. D., D. A. Stone, C. J. Paciorek, M. F. Wehner, and O. Angélil. 2017. Quantifying the effect of interannual ocean variability on the attribution of extreme climate events to human influence. Climate Dynamics, 49, 3051-3073, 10.1007/s00382-016-3492-x.
- Timmermans, B., D. Stone, M. Wehner, and H. Krishnan. 2017. Impact of tropical cyclones on modeled wind-wave climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 1393-1401, 10.1002/2016GL071681.
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  2016
- Angélil, O., S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, L. V. Alexander, D. Stone, M. G. Donat, M. Wehner, H. Shiogama, A. Ciavarella, and N. Christidis. 2016. Comparing regional precipitation and temperature extremes in climate model and reanalysis products. Weather and Climate Extremes, 13, 35-43, 10.1016/j.wace.2016.07.001.
- Boisier, J. P., R. Rondanelli, R. D. Garreaud, and F. Muñoz. 2016. Anthropogenic and natural contributions to the Southeast Pacific precipitation decline and recent megadrought in central Chile. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 413-421, 10.1002/2015GL067265.
- Christidis, N., M. McCarthy, A. Ciavarella, and P. A. Stott. 2016. Human contribution to the record sunshine of winter 2014/15 in the United Kingdom. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, S47-S50, 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0143.1.
- Hoell, A., M. Hoerling, J. Eischeid, K. Wolter, R. Dole, J. Perlwitz, T. Xu, and L. Cheng. 2016. Does El Niño intensity matter for California precipitation? Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 819-825, 10.1002/2015GL067102.
- Lawal, K. A., A. A. Abatan, O. Angélil, E. Olaniyan, V. H. Olusoji, P. G. Oguntunde, B. Lamptey, B. J. Abiodun, H. Shiogama, M. F. Wehner, and D. A. Stone. 2016. The late onset of the 2015 wet season in Nigeria. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0131.2.
- Nguyen, H., D. Stone, and E. W. Bethel. 2016. Statistical projections for multi-dimensional visual data exploration. 2016 IEEE 6th Symposium on Large Data Analysis and Visualization (LDAV), 23-28 October, Baltimore, Maryland, U.S.A., doi:10.1109/LDAV.2016.7874338.
- Shiogama, H., Y. Imada, M. Mori, R. Mizuta, D. Stone, K. Yoshida, O. Arakawa, M. Ikeda, C. Takahashi, M. Arai, M. Ishii, M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto. 2016. Attributing historical changes in probabilities of record-breaking daily temperature and precipitation extreme events. Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere, 45, 679-695, 10.1007/s00382-014-2283-5.
- Takahashi, C., M. Watanabe, H. Shiogama, Y. Imada, and M. Mori. 2016. A persistent Japanese heat wave in early August 2015: roles of natural variability and human-induced warming. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, S107-S112, 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0157.2.
- Wehner, M., D. Stone, H. Krishnan, K. AchutaRao, and F. Castillo. 2016. The deadly combination of heat and humidity in India and Pakistan in summer 2015. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97.
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  2015
- Lawal, K. A. 2015. Understanding the variability and predictability of seasonal climates over West and Southern Africa using climate models. University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, South Africa.
- Lawal, K., P. Wolski, C. Lennard, M. Tadross, B. Abiodun, O. Ang\'elil, R. Cerezo Mota, and D. Stone. 2015. Predictability and attribution of the South African seasonal climate. Water Research Commission, South Africa, WRC Report No 2067/1/15, ISBN 978-1-4312-0633-9.
- Lewis, S. C., and D. J. Karoly. 2015. Are estimates of anthropogenic and natural influences on Australia's extreme 2010-2012 rainfal model-dependent? Climate Dynamics, 45, 679-695, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2283-5.
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  2014
- Angélil, O., D. A. Stone, M. Tadross, F. Tummon, M. Wehner, and R. Knutti. 2014. Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: sensitivity to spatial and temporal scales. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, doi:10.1002/2014GL059234.
- Imada, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, M. Mori, Y. Kamae, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2014. The contribution of anthropogenic forcing to the Japanese heat waves of 2013. In: Explaining Extreme Events of 2013 from a Climate Perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(9), S52-S54.
- Kamae, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto. 2014. Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 5192-5199, doi:10.1002/2014GL061062.
- Lestari, R. K., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, H. Shiogama, R. D. Field, T. Takemura, and M. Kimoto. 2014. Increasing potential of biomass burning over Sumatra, Indonesia induced by anthropogenic tropical warming. Environmental Research Letters, 9, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/10/104010.
- Mori, M., M. Watanabe, H. Shiogama, J. Inoue, and M. Kimoto. 2014. Robust Arctic sea-ice influence to frequent Eurasian cold winters in the recent past. Nature Geoscience, 7, 869-873, doi:10.1038/ngeo2277.
- Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, M. Mori, Y. Kamae, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2014. Attribution of the June-July 2013 heat wave in the southwestern United States. SOLA, 10, 122-126, doi:10.2151/sola.2014-025.
- Watanabe, M., H. Shiogama, H. Tatebe, M. Hayashi, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2014. Contribution of natural decadal variability to global-warming acceleration and hiatus. Nature Climate Change, 4, 893-897, doi:10.1038/nclimate2355.
- Wolski, P., D. Stone, M. Tadross, M. Wehner, B. Hewitson. 2014. Attribution of floods in the Okavango basin, Southern Africa. Journal of Hydrology, 511, 350-358.
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  2013
- Christidis, N., P. A. Stott, A. A. Scaife, A. Arribas, G. S. Jones, D. Copsey, J. R. Knight, and W. J. Tennant. 2013. A new HadGEM3-A-based system for attribution of weather- and climate-related extreme events. Journal of Climate, 26, 2756-2783.
- Imada, Y., M. Watanabe, M. Mori, M. Kimoto, H. Shiogama, and M. Ishii. 2013. Contribution of atmospheric circulation change to the 2012 heavy rainfall in southern Japan. In: Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94(9), S52-S54.
- Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, M. Mori, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2013. An Event Attribution of the 2010 Drought in the South Amazon Region using the MIROC5 Model. Atmospheric Science Letters, 14(3), 170-175, doi:10.1002/asl2.435
- Watanabe, M., H. Shiogama, Y. Imada, M. Mori, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto. 2013. Event attribution of the August 2010 Russian heat wave. SOLA, 9, 65-68, doi:10.2151/sola.2013-015.
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    • SELECTED POSTERS •
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  2019
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Stone, D., N. Christidis, C. Folland, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, J. Perlwitz, H. Shiogama, M. Wehner, P. Wolski, S. Cholia, H. Krishnan, D. Murray, O. Angélil, U. Beyerle, A. Ciavarella, A. Dittus, X.-W. Quan, and M. Tadross. 2019. Progress in the International CLIVAR C20C+ Detection and Attribution Project. 14th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology, Toulouse, France.
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  2018
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Stone, D., O. Angélil, U. Beyerle, S. Cholia, N. Christidis, A. Ciavarella, C. Folland, H. Krishnan, D. Murray, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, J. Perlwitz, X.-W. Quan, M. Risser, H. Shiogama, M. Tadross, M. Wehner, and P. Wolski. 2018. Progress in the International CLIVAR C20C+ Detection and Attribution Project. GEWEX Open Science Conference, Canmore, Alberta, Canada.
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  2016
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Stone, D., O. Angélil, S. Cholia, N. Christidis, A. Ciavarella, A. Dittus, C. Folland, J. Jin, A. King, J. Kinter, H. Krishnan, K. Lawal, S.-K. Min, D. Murray, S. Perkins, J. Perlwitz, M. Risser, H. Shiogama, M. Wehner, and P. Wolski. 2016. The Climate of the 20th Century Plus Detection and Attribution Project: Experimental design. CLIVAR Open Science Conference, Qingdao, China
- Risser, M., C. Paciorek, D. Stone, M. Wehner, and O. Angélil. 2016. Quantifying the effect of ocean variability on the attribution of extreme climate events to human influence. International Detection and Attribution Group Meeting, Boulder, Colorado, U.S.A.
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  2015
- Wolski, P., D. Stone, M. Tadross, B. Hewitson, and M. Wehner. 2015. Attributing the risk of late onset of the rainy season in Southern Africa to climate change. American Geophysical Union's Fall Meeting, San Francisco, California, U.S.A.
- Stone, D., H. Shiogama, P. Wolski, O. Angélil, S. Cholias, N. Christidis, A. Dittus, C. Folland, A. King, J. Kinter, H. Krishnan, S.-K. Min, and M. Wehner. 2015. The C20C+ Detection and Attribution Project. American Geophysical Union's Fall Meeting, San Francisco, California, U.S.A.
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  2014
- Stone, D., M. Wehner, S. Cholia, H. Krishnan, P. Wolski, M. Tadross, C. Folland, N. Christidis, and H. Shiogama. 2014. The C20C+ Detection and Attribution Project. Integrated Climate Modeling Principal Investigator Meeting 2014, U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Science, Potomac, Maryland, U.S.A.
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    • REPORTS •
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  Status reports
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  Meeting reports
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    • ASSOCIATED PROJECTS •
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  ARTMIP (Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project)
- Shields, C. A., J. J. Rutz, L.-Y. Leung, F. M. Ralph, M. Wehner, B. Kawzenuk, J. M. Lora, E. McClenny, T. Osborne, A. E. Payne, P. Ullrich, A. Gershunov, N. Goldenson, B. Guan, Y. Qian, A. M. Ramos, C. Sarangi, S. Sellars, I. Gorodetskaya, K. Kashinath, V. Kurlin, K. Mahoney, G. Muszynski, R. Pierce, A. C. Subramanian, R. Tome, D. Waliser, D. Walton, G. Wick, A. Wilson, D. Lavers, Prabhat, A. Collow, H. Krishnan, G. Magnusdottir, and P. Nguyen. 2018. Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project(ARTMIP): project goals and experimental design. Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2455-2474, 10.5194/gmd-11-2455-2018.
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  DAMIP (Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project)
- Gillett, N. P., H. Shiogama, B. Funke, G. Hegerl, R. Knutti, K. Matthes, B. D. Santer, D. Stone, and C. Tebaldi. 2016. The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0) contribution to CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 3685-3697, 10.5194/gmd-9-3685-2016.
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  HAPPI (Half a degree Additional warming, Prognosis and Projected Impacts)
- Mitchell, D., K. AchutaRao, M. Allen, I. Bethke, P. Forster, J. Fuglestvedt, N. Gillett, K. Haustein, T. Iverson, N. Massey, C.-F. Schleussner, J. Scinocca, O. Seland, H. Shiogama, E. Shuckburgh, S. Sparrow, D. Stone, D. Wallom, M. Wehner, and R. Zaaboul. 2017. Half a degree additional warming, prognosis and projected impacts (HAPPI): background and experimental design. Geoscientific Model Development, 10, 571-583, 10.5194/gmd-10-571-2017.
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